The following appeared in a recommendation from the planning department of the city of Transopolis.
“Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway. Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased. To further revitalize the city, we should now take similar action in a declining residential area on the opposite side of the city. Since some houses and apartments in existing nearby neighborhoods are currently unoccupied, alternate housing for those displaced by this action will be readily available.”
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
五問(wèn):
(1)“Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway. Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased”和“some houses and apartments in existing nearby neighborhoods are currently unoccupied”是事實(shí),倒數(shù)第二句話“To further revitalize the city, we should now take similar action in a declining residential area on the opposite side of the city”是結(jié)論,值得反駁嗎?
(2)原文中的第一句話“ Ten years ago, as part of a comprehensive urban renewal program, the city of Transopolis adapted for industrial use a large area of severely substandard housing near the freeway”與第二句話“ Subsequently, several factories were constructed there, crime rates in the area declined, and property tax revenues for the entire city increased”之間的因果關(guān)系成立嗎?二者是唯一的因果關(guān)系嗎?你能想出其他也會(huì)導(dǎo)致同樣結(jié)果的原因嗎?當(dāng)?shù)鼐郊訌?qiáng)巡邏監(jiān)管也會(huì)使犯罪率下降,全市財(cái)產(chǎn)稅的增加可能是因?yàn)樵撌衅渌貐^(qū)的企業(yè)繳稅增加了。
(3)文中是否給出了地區(qū)間的差異比較?同一項(xiàng)政策能夠簡(jiǎn)單地在兩個(gè)不同地區(qū)取得相同的成果嗎?為什么不能?我們應(yīng)當(dāng)考慮哪些因素?例如:另一地區(qū)的人口素質(zhì)低、法律意識(shí)薄弱,即使改造成工業(yè)區(qū)也不會(huì)使犯罪率下降;或者因地理位置、交通不便,不適合建工廠;建工廠也不一定能使財(cái)產(chǎn)稅增加。
(4)十年前的措施還適用于現(xiàn)在嗎?過(guò)去的情況和現(xiàn)在一致嗎?請(qǐng)回顧前面講過(guò)的時(shí)間軸論證錯(cuò)誤。
(5)這一措施將促使現(xiàn)有居民尋找新的住所,但周?chē)凶》烤鸵馕吨用褚欢軌蜉p松地入住嗎?難道不需要考慮居住習(xí)慣、價(jià)格等諸多因素嗎?
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