劉文勇GRE寫(xiě)作Argument題庫(kù) Day 67

Day 67 Despite its downtown location, the Rialto Movie Theater, a local institution for five decades, must make big changes or closeits doors forever

The following appeared as part of a business plan developed by the manager of the Rialto Movie Theater.

“Despite its downtown location, the Rialto Movie Theater, a local institution for five decades, must make big changes or close its doors forever. It should follow the example of the new Apex Theater in the mall outside of town. When the Apex opened last year, it featured a video arcade, plush carpeting and seats, and a state-of-the-art sound system. Furthermore, in a recent survey, over 85 percent of respondents reported that the high price of newly released movies prevents them from going to the movies more than five times per year. Thus, if the Rialto intends to hold on to its share of a decreasing pool of moviegoers, it must offer the same features as Apex.”

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.

五問(wèn)：

（1）“Despite its downtown location, the Rialto Movie Theater, a local institution for five decades”和“ When the Apex opened last year, it featured a video arcade, plush carpeting and seats, and a state-of-the-art sound system. Furthermore, in a recent survey, over 85 percent of respondents reported that the high price of newly released movies prevents them from going to the movies more than five times per year”是事實(shí)， “It should follow the example of the new Apex Theater in the mall outside of town”是結(jié)論，值得反駁嗎？

（2）本文屬于比較典型的類比論證式題目，請(qǐng)大家先試著回顧一下：一個(gè)有效的類比論證需要達(dá)成哪些條件？ Rialto與Apex是否滿足了這些類比的條件呢？

（3）Apex與Rialto的地理位置是否相同？如果不同，這會(huì)對(duì)兩者的經(jīng)營(yíng)狀況產(chǎn)生哪些影響？例如： Apex位于城外的購(gòu)物中心內(nèi)，也許很多人是去購(gòu)物而不是專門(mén)去看電影的。

（4）原文提供了一項(xiàng)調(diào)查研究作為論據(jù)，這項(xiàng)調(diào)查研究的哪些信息可能與Rialto改變策略相關(guān)，但原文卻沒(méi)有交代清楚？ Apex的經(jīng)營(yíng)策略可以解決調(diào)查所反映出的問(wèn)題嗎？原文是否給出了足夠的信息？沒(méi)有信息表明 Apex的豪華設(shè)施吸引了許多因電影票價(jià)貴而減少去影院次數(shù)的顧客，所以并不能說(shuō)明如果 Rialto借鑒了 Apex的做法，顧客就會(huì)增加。

（5）新電影的高票價(jià)使得部分受調(diào)查的人每年去電影院看電影的次數(shù)不會(huì)超過(guò)五次，就意味著電影市場(chǎng)正在萎縮嗎？這 85%的回應(yīng)者具有代表性嗎？這些人是否可能屬于低收入群體，比如學(xué)生群體？原來(lái)每年看幾次電影？受訪者是否說(shuō)了真話？