預(yù)計2018年中國鋼鐵產(chǎn)量增速將會大幅放緩,原因是政府強制關(guān)閉工廠和環(huán)保政策開始產(chǎn)生影響。
The world’s largest producer of the metal will experience just a small rise in output of 0.6 per cent this year, a poll of 15 analysts found in a Financial Times survey.
英國《金融時報》對15名分析師進行的調(diào)查顯示,作為世界最大的鋼鐵生產(chǎn)國,中國今年的鋼鐵產(chǎn)量將僅小幅上升0.6%。
Steel is often viewed as a barometer of economic activity because it is used in carmaking, construction and manufacturing, which means a significant price move could have repercussions for the broader economy.
鋼鐵常被視為經(jīng)濟活動的晴雨表,因為鋼鐵被用于汽車制造、建筑和制造業(yè),這意味著鋼鐵的重大價格變動可能會對整體經(jīng)濟產(chǎn)生影響。
For the steelmakers, the Chinese slowdown could have positive effects.
對于鋼鐵制造商來說,中國鋼鐵生產(chǎn)放緩可能帶來積極的影響。
A modest increase in production from China, which accounts for about half the 1.7bn tonnes churned out worldwide, could restore balance to a global market that was ravaged by a collapse in prices two years ago due to oversupply.
中國占全球17億噸的鋼鐵產(chǎn)量的一半左右,中國鋼鐵產(chǎn)量僅小幅上升有利于全球市場恢復(fù)平衡。兩年前,供應(yīng)過剩導(dǎo)致的價格暴跌重創(chuàng)了國際鋼鐵市場。
The anticipated slowdown comes despite a robust outlook for the Chinese economy and contrasts with a 5.7 per cent jump in its crude steel output during the first 11 months of 2017, according to World Steel Association figures.
雖然中國經(jīng)濟前景被看好,分析師依然做出了上述的放緩預(yù)測。與此形成對比的是,世界鋼鐵協(xié)會(World Steel Association)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2017年頭11個月中國粗鋼產(chǎn)量大幅上升5.7%。
Even so, global annual production in 2018 is slated to increase 2.1 per cent, according to an average of the analysts’ forecasts.
根據(jù)分析師預(yù)測的平均值,預(yù)計2018年全球鋼鐵產(chǎn)量將增長2.1%。
World output increased 5.4 per cent between January and November 2017, compared with the same period a year before.
2017年1月至11月期間,世界鋼鐵產(chǎn)量同比增長5.4%。
Rod Beddows of HCF International Advisors said: “The total market appears to be reverting to a more stable ‘normal’ with Chinese exports under control.”
HCF International Advisors的羅德•貝多斯(Rod Beddows)說:“總體市場似乎正恢復(fù)到更穩(wěn)定的‘常態(tài)’,中國的出口受到控制。”
Donald Trump’s pledge to renew US infrastructure, coupled with the impact of import restrictions against steel deemed unfairly traded, were cited as factors behind the average forecast of a 3.4 per cent jump in the country’s steel production in 2018.
對2018年美國鋼鐵產(chǎn)量增速的平均預(yù)測值為3.4%,原因包括唐納德•特朗普(Donald Trump)關(guān)于更新美國基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的承諾,以及美國政府對其認為存在不公平貿(mào)易的鋼鐵的進口限制。
Alistair Ramsay of the publication Metal Bulletin said that US producers had been winning customers back from external suppliers, partly due to a weak dollar.
英國《金屬導(dǎo)報》(Metal Bulletin)的阿利斯泰爾•拉姆齊(Alistair Ramsay)表示,美國生產(chǎn)商不斷從外國供應(yīng)商那里搶回客戶,美元疲軟是部分原因。