中國現(xiàn)“人口危機(jī)”？2018年新生嬰兒數(shù)量較2017年少200萬！

The number of children born in China in 2018 is expected to have dropped to the lowest level since 2000, signalling a “demographic crisis” that threatens already struggling economic growth prospects, mainland media and researchers said.

大陸媒體和研究人員表示，中國2018年新生嬰兒的數(shù)量預(yù)計(jì)降至2000年以來最低水平，這是“人口危機(jī)”的信號(hào)，威脅到早已低迷的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長前景。

The final figure for China births in 2018 will drop below 15 million, or more than two million fewer than in 2017, the state-run tabloid Global Times reported.

根據(jù)官方小報(bào)《環(huán)球時(shí)報(bào)》報(bào)道，2018年中國出生人口最終數(shù)量將降至1500萬以下，比2017年減少200多萬。

If confirmed, it will fall far short of the family planning authority’s previous estimates of up to 20 million births.

如果得到證實(shí)，這一數(shù)字將遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)低于計(jì)劃生育部門此前估計(jì)的2000萬。

China’s National Bureau of Statistics is expected to release nationwide birth figures for 2018 later this month, but data released by local authorities has all pointed to a considerable drop in births.

中國國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局預(yù)計(jì)于本月晚些時(shí)候發(fā)布2018年全國人口出生數(shù)據(jù)，但地方政府發(fā)布的數(shù)據(jù)均顯示，出生率大幅下降。

Yi Fuxian, a researcher at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and Su Jian, an economist at Peking University, co-authored a paper arguing that China may have started to see a long-lasting fall in its population.

威斯康星大學(xué)麥迪遜分校研究員易福賢與北京大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家蘇建合著了一篇論文，認(rèn)為中國人口可能已經(jīng)開始出現(xiàn)長期下降的趨勢(shì)。

“The year 2018 will be remembered as a historical turning point for Chinese population,” Yi and Su wrote in a copy of the paper sent to the South China Morning Post.

“2018年將作為中國人口歷史性轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn)被銘記，”易和蘇在發(fā)給《南華早報(bào)》的一份文件中寫道。

“The Chinese population has started to fall, the ageing problems has accelerated, and economic vitality has weakened.”

“中國人口開始下降，老齡化問題加劇，經(jīng)濟(jì)活力減弱。”