金融時(shí)報(bào):燃料補(bǔ)貼的末日？

燃料補(bǔ)貼的末日？

巴西和印度兩個(gè)新興市場(chǎng)大國(guó)都面對(duì)著巨額的燃料補(bǔ)貼的問(wèn)題。對(duì)曾任巴西石油公司董事長(zhǎng)的總統(tǒng)羅塞夫來(lái)說(shuō)，這個(gè)問(wèn)題對(duì)連任影響不小。印度政府已經(jīng)做出了決定，接下來(lái)看巴西的了。

測(cè)試中可能遇到的詞匯和知識(shí)：

A tale of two subsidies 這個(gè)標(biāo)題取自狄更斯的小說(shuō)《雙城記》A Tale of Two Cities

Petrobras （國(guó)有的）巴西石油公司

diesel ['di?z(?)l] 柴油

canny ['kæn?] 精明

R 巴西雷亞爾(Real)

Rs 印度盧比(Rupees)

India/Brazil: A tale of two subsidies （338 words）

FT Lex, October 20, 2014

“The value of Petrobras… is a growing value. Everyone who has invested in Petrobras will make lots of money.”

President Dilma Rousseff of Brazil was in rousing form when defending the country's state-owned oil company in an election debate on Sunday. She once chaired its board. But the good news was slightly marred by Ms Rousseff's admission that some may have made their Petrobras money by siphoning it off the company directly.

And if this did not make Petrobras' minority shareholders feel glum about destruction of value, they could also have looked at India this weekend for a contrast. At the stroke of midnight Delhi time on Saturday, the market took over setting diesel prices after the government ended subsidies. These were a burden on the state and made profits less predictable at refiners (many themselves state-owned).

Petrobras' R$225bn (or $102bn) market value dwarfs any of these companies – even India's state owned ONGC, which like Petrobras is both a producer and a refiner. But the Brazilian government requires Petrobras to apply its own fuel subsidies. Prices are kept under control to stop inflation rising further. Between 2011 – a year after a $70bn equity offering to foreign investors – and 2013, Petrobras' net income was R$78bn overall. But its refining division, partly because of the subsidies, posted net losses of R$51bn. And this year the Brazilian real's weakening against the US dollar may make importing fuel dearer.

The Indian government has been canny. It picked the fall in oil prices to deregulate. The first breath of market forces was thus a Rs3.4 price cut per litre. The drop in crude prices is the equivalent of Rs5, HSBC thinks, so refiners could either pass more on to consumers or increase margins. Such opportunities do not often present themselves. The case for reforming Petrobras' pricing must get through an election first. It trades 8 times forecast 2015 earnings. To quote Ms Rousseff, there is muito dinheiro(a lot of money) at stake.

請(qǐng)根據(jù)你所讀到的文章內(nèi)容，完成以下自測(cè)題目：

1.What is the Lex's stand on fuel subsidies?

A.For.

B.Against.

C.Not clear.

答案(1)

2.Indian government ended what exactly?

A.All kinds of fiscal subsidies.

B.State ownership of oil companies.

C.Subsidies on diesel.

答案(2)

3.Petrobras has a 2013 profit of Real 78bn, a market value of 225bn, which is 8 times forcast 2015 earnings.

Is the company's profits going up or down?

A.Going up.

B.Going down.

C.More or less the same.

答案(3)

* * *

(1)答案：B.Against.

解釋?zhuān)篎T一直很反對(duì)這種帶來(lái)浪費(fèi)和短缺的政策。文中有多處表現(xiàn)出希望巴西和印度政府取消這項(xiàng)政策。 These were a burden on the state and made profits less predictable at refiners.

(2)答案：C.Subsidies on diesel.

解釋?zhuān)弘S著補(bǔ)貼的終止，市場(chǎng)接管了柴油市場(chǎng)的定價(jià)。此前的補(bǔ)貼（因?yàn)槿Q于政治而非經(jīng)濟(jì)因素）讓煉油廠的利潤(rùn)很不穩(wěn)定。

(3)答案：B.Going down.

解釋?zhuān)汉?jiǎn)單計(jì)算下，目前的巴西石油公司股價(jià)是2013年利潤(rùn)的3倍，是2015年利潤(rùn)的8倍。因此它的利潤(rùn)在這兩年是大幅下降的，因?yàn)樽罱氖澜缬蛢r(jià)一直在跌。——所以機(jī)智的印度政府選在這個(gè)時(shí)機(jī)取消柴油補(bǔ)貼，這是文中的第一個(gè)重要線索；第二個(gè)線索是，羅塞夫受到不小的壓力，“這事關(guān)一大筆錢(qián)”，這顯然不是公司利潤(rùn)上漲時(shí)的態(tài)勢(shì)。